A few side notes about using teasers and parlays instead of single game bets.   Please understand, there are thousands of data points that are being looked at for each game on both sides- the bookmakers and the professional gamblers.   There is no telling what all kinds of calculations and simulations being used to set the lines and then the smart money that moves them.    When I built my process of handicapping games, I decided there had to be other indicators besides point systems to help determine the outcome of games.   I believe I've found several. 

 

I also have multiple point systems to set a line and then compare it to the Vegas line, but it's only 50-60% of my decision making process.  The rest of my process hinges on other indicators....it's like I'm not just handicapping the game, I'm handicapping the NFL and the Lines as a whole system.  That's the only way I can describe it. 

 

 With this process, some things will not seem logical as I even break some traditional betting rules.  But to get past a 60% pick rate, I'm doing it different.   You'll see some teasers go thru the number 0, and that is like a big no-no in the betting world.   The logic is you are paying for points that you can't use because it's very unlikely an NFL game will end in a tie.  Well, I'm not using the teasers in a traditional way.  I don't like to break this rule, but I do all the time and you will see that in my picks as well.  There are other things that you will see and probably disagree with.   I mean who is selling 8 team teasers and parlays that people will actually pay for?  Is that even possible?  Well I believe it is and excited to give it a shot this fall.   

 

So I've got two things that are different than what I believe anybody else is doing-  the process I use to handicap the games (teasers to parlays) and the layered betting process.  Good luck everyone!