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A New Way to Bet the NFL
A quick glance:
Foxdogpicks introduces an innovative approach to betting on NFL games, designed to deliver both exceptional ROI and unmatched entertainment value. This strategy, I call "layered betting," involves expertly handicapping a series of games each week, leveraging the strategic use of teasers and parlays for maximum impact. With my service, you'll gain access to outstanding picks at an incredibly low price. After just a couple of weeks of winning, you'll not only get an understanding of how it works, but also discover how much more exciting this method is compared to traditional single-game betting. Get ready to transform the way you bet!
About
I’m a passionate NFL handicapper who has developed a proven strategy to help you get the most out of your entertainment investment. Betting on NFL games is no easy task as it is incredibly difficult to make a significant profit using the traditional method of making single bets. The reality is most casual bettors aren’t prepared to do that. Even the best professional handicappers only win about 60% of the time. When you factor in the juice (the bookmaker's cut) and the sheer volume of data needed to analyze games, it becomes nearly impossible for the average bettor to come out ahead. Without a solid plan and strategy, losing is almost inevitable. That’s where I come in. Let me guide and help you turn your betting experience into something smarter, more strategic, and ultimately more rewarding.
There are no guarantees with sports betting. It’s important to approach it as a form of entertainment, and that’s exactly what I encourage. With that said, I’m offering my weekly NFL game picks to you at an incredible price. If you’re new to gambling, I highly recommend taking the time to learn more about it before purchasing any picks.
Strategy
Most handicappers approach each week by evaluating games on a point-by-point basis. They analyze the betting lines against their models to identify value and then sell their picks. The top handicappers typically achieve a success rate of 55-60%. While that’s impressive, even in the best-case scenario, your annual return on investment (ROI) would only be around 10-15%. That’s not bad, but to earn $10,000 in a year, you’d need to wager $100,000. Let’s be honest—most bettors don’t bet that much annually, nor should they, unless they have significant disposable income to risk. As always, I strongly encourage you to view this as entertainment and stick to a budget you’re comfortable with.
My strategy takes a different approach. Instead of focusing on individual games, I consider all the games collectively to identify the best opportunities for teasers and parlays and then layer the bets for the best ROI. I call this approach layered betting. By leveraging this strategy week after week, I aim to achieve a much higher ROI than the traditional 10%, and, frankly, it’s a lot more enjoyable. If you want to know how I handicap all the games at once...well I can't tell you that. You’ll just have to give it a try and see for yourself.
How it Works
When you purchase my picks, you will receive an email and a file to download with the picks for the week and a betting plan for those picks.
For example, a Two Game plan you would bet:
Teaser 1 or T1 (Tease the games on a 6 point teaser)
Game 1 or G1 (single game bet)
Game 2 or G2 (single game bet)
Parlay 1 or P1 (Parlay the two teams)
A Four Game Plan or Weekend Package is where it gets a little more complicated. See example below as this is from week 4 of the 2024 season.
The idea behind the strategy is to use the probability of hitting the teaser bets to cover the expenses of the riskier bets. My season projections put the ROI much higher than 10% for the year. I'm going to conservatively say 30% but I expect well over 50% ROI.
With this strategy the T1-T4 bets use the most units (bet amount), then lower the units with each layer. The real value is in how the games are handicapped combined with layered betting. This something that the wagering world has never seen.
An Example Betting Plan of $150 using a Weekend Package:
Bet $20 for T1-T4 bets
Bet $15 for T5-T6 bets
Bet $10 for P1, P2, P3 bets
Bet $5 for T7 and P4 bets
In this example we would have hit T1, T2, T3, T5 bets. And some weeks we will hit one or two of the parlay bets. Hopefully a handful of weeks we will hit all bets. This example below of $150 with basic teaser and parlay odds we would've cashed out $230. Based on the process I have built, this would be my expectation for an average weekend. And then some weeks I expect to be really exciting hitting most layers.
